ODDS of Winning

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Post by Psychee22 Thu Sep 10, 2015 6:19 pm

TVline.com has set opening odds of various contestants winning this season. 
Thought folks here might enjoy them:
 
( 2:1) Nick Carter partnered with Sharna Burgess
( 4:1) Andy Grammer partnered with Allison Holker
( 6:1) Tamar Braxton partnered with Valentin Chmerkovskiy
( 8:1) Hayes Grier partnered with Emma Slater
(10:1) Alexa PenaVega partnered with Mark Ballas
(10:1) Carlos PenaVega partnered with Witney Carson
(12:1) Bindi Irwin partnered with Derek Hough
(15:1) Alek Skarlatos partnered with Lindsay Arnold
(18:1) Chaka Khan partnered with Keo Motsepe
(20:1) Kim Zolciak Biermann partnered with Tony Dovolani
(30:1) Victor Espinoza partnered with Karina Smirnoff
(35:1) Gary Busey partnered with Anna Trebunskaya
(40:1) Paula Dean partnered with Louis van Amstel


Last edited by Psychee22 on Thu Sep 10, 2015 6:40 pm; edited 3 times in total
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Post by Lesallee Thu Sep 10, 2015 6:32 pm

Interesting, Psychee. I think if Andy Grammer  was with Peta as originally planned before she had to drop out we would have seen a real contest for #1 spot. That would have been very entertaining, the two Aussie BFF dancing their hearts out.


Tamar and Val slotted in at third rather surprises me. She must be better than I thought. 


I guess Paula and Gary are the easily predictable early exits.
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Post by Psychee22 Thu Sep 10, 2015 6:39 pm

Look how far down the list Derek is with a young and fit and appealing partner! 
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Post by Lesallee Thu Sep 10, 2015 6:53 pm

Psychee22 wrote:Look how far down the list Derek is with a young and fit and appealing partner! 
Yes that is a bit surprising but I have read here and there that Bindi is not a natural dancer and can be "on" a bit too much. I expect that will change as the season progresses, certainly DH knows well how to cover any deficiencies his partner has.


The placing of the PenaVegas surprises me too. I thought they would be higher up the list.


I was disappointed with Karina's partner after being so thrilled to have her back. No matter how well Karina choreographs (and she will pull out all the stops) that height discrepancy will be jarring.
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Post by SLA44 Thu Sep 10, 2015 6:58 pm

I'm glad to see Nick and Sharna at the top - well at least for now!   Cancan dance
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Post by Psychee22 Thu Sep 10, 2015 6:59 pm

There are two kids under 18 this season.
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Post by Glittersisgld Thu Sep 10, 2015 7:08 pm

Are these odds based on dance skill?

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Post by Glittersisgld Thu Sep 10, 2015 7:09 pm

Bindi looks like she could lose some weight.

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Post by Psychee22 Thu Sep 10, 2015 7:21 pm

Glittersisgld wrote:Are these odds based on dance skill?

Not at all.  No one yet knows how they dance.  They used a variety of other criteria, like how they moved in a general way, were musically inclined, likely to get a fan base, physically fit, and a bunch of criteria related to the pro they were matched with, such as how hungry they were for a win (in Allison's case), how close they have gotten in the past to winning (eg Sharna and Emma), successfully winning in the past, and so forth.  Derek got knocked down because of the perception that a part of the audience would prefer him not to win again.
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Post by Glittersisgld Thu Sep 10, 2015 7:25 pm

I thought Alexa looked like she moved pretty good.

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Post by Psychee22 Thu Sep 10, 2015 7:27 pm

Glittersisgld wrote:Bindi looks like she could lose some weight.

I predict that you will not like Bindi. 

She radiates happiness and that tends to irk you.
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Post by Glittersisgld Thu Sep 10, 2015 8:03 pm

I don't mind someone being happy.  I just don't like it when it seems fake.  I don't know her personality yet.

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Post by Psychee22 Thu Sep 10, 2015 8:23 pm

Glittersisgld wrote:I don't mind someone being happy.  I just don't like it when it seems fake.  I don't know her personality yet.

Well, when you see her for the first time, try to remember that  Bindi comes by her happy energetic effervescence directly from her dad who was the same.    Every little thing in nature excited the heck out of him and his enthusiasm for Nature's wonders was contagious.    Her mom was more laid back, smiling, getting a kick out of her husband's, and then  her child's, enthusiasms.     There's nothing fake about this family.  I used to love watching them on TV. 
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Post by BAL91182 Thu Sep 10, 2015 8:24 pm

I love Bindi and her family!  I hope she goes far into the season!  I always use to watch that show her mom and dad did with the various people that worked at the zoo. I was glued to my tv everyday when I came home from school. I even remember the episode when they did the sonogram on Teri and Bindi's birth. Im really excited to see her on the show!!
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Post by Glittersisgld Thu Sep 10, 2015 8:39 pm

I like Charo and she acts happy all the time.

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Post by kincaid53 Thu Sep 10, 2015 9:12 pm

We soooooo need Charo to be on!!!!      She came on the season Pamela Anderson was on and was in her rehearsal pkg when Pam and Louis were practicing the Flamenco......
   Cuchi..Cuchi..........!!!!

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Post by Glittersisgld Thu Sep 10, 2015 10:07 pm

I agree.  She would probably steal the show.

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